Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 109.203466 124.180113 140.749306 160.489024 183.428882 209.322247 240.868055
2025-11-30 87.998125 107.563569 131.058712 161.542623 200.324701 248.383070 313.014499
2025-12-07 72.871969 93.582977 119.899647 156.150973 205.349839 270.599432 365.033884
2025-12-14 63.556817 84.912464 113.312771 154.394806 213.213553 295.796104 423.041821
2025-12-21 57.665804 79.724146 110.245016 156.335705 225.543283 327.830951 494.724854
2025-12-28 54.219789 77.338958 110.512449 162.647174 244.499059 371.501544 590.424249
2026-01-04 50.595120 74.182536 109.134916 166.056794 259.089206 409.975614 683.590235
2026-01-11 46.412158 69.692966 105.171364 164.784386 265.743166 436.093226 759.480519
2026-01-18 43.920642 67.511539 104.466836 168.514246 280.904607 478.254097 870.786410
2026-01-25 40.908637 64.190168 101.560273 168.137106 288.748285 508.308321 964.046038
2026-02-01 38.638107 61.844384 99.982796 169.778786 300.237774 546.347943 1079.436073
2026-02-08 35.785908 58.272259 95.991658 166.658922 302.425193 566.762229 1161.555246
2026-02-15 33.187721 55.135232 92.842485 165.463350 309.596408 600.997946 1287.484986
2026-02-22 31.195827 52.898974 91.113517 166.839432 322.310603 649.313559 1458.124413
2026-03-01 28.452231 49.066362 86.106236 161.261647 319.989521 665.151661 1555.028609
2026-03-08 26.510192 46.506942 83.187359 159.440930 325.259079 698.546461 1703.769032
2026-03-15 25.238668 45.067076 82.226095 161.454045 339.102726 753.951490 1924.347999
2026-03-22 24.595700 44.747730 83.379995 168.001070 364.089888 840.534198 2255.027257
2026-03-29 23.665669 43.786581 83.158033 171.538469 382.599871 914.549935 2570.827486
2026-04-05 22.321546 41.894859 80.869963 170.218334 389.205037 958.972360 2808.711158
2026-04-12 21.582117 41.150303 80.874338 174.088240 409.271427 1043.478852 3202.597918
2026-04-19 20.513646 39.646365 79.137733 173.696919 418.380948 1099.274378 3517.119082
2026-04-26 19.704772 38.615536 78.321794 175.400357 433.285886 1174.900863 3928.298323